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I think it’s time to consider what would a Kerry presidency would look like? I see it as Carter reloaded. I have long considered Carter one of the most ineffectual presidents of the 20th century.
It will be a tepid presidency. Kerry has done well by criticizing every error Bush ever made. That will make him mindful to not make any mistakes himself.
My experience is that people who never make mistakes never accomplish anything.
On the domestic front, a Republican majority in one or both house will stop any Kerry initiatives cold – not that I see anything creative from a Kerry Presidency. I see Kerry as mired to the old ways. A man that writes his speeches longhand instead of on a computer is a man stuck in the past.
With his worry about not making mistakes, I would expect him to micromanage Iraq. That’s exactly the mistake Johnson made in Vietnam. I also expect him to not do well in Iraq. I think he will see Iraq through the lens of Vietnam and make many of the same mistakes.
There is a chance Kerry will feel compelled to re-institute the draft. I suspect many military people, under a Kerry Presidency, will not renew their enlistments. It appears we will need more troops in the future not fewer. The rock and the hard place may meet.
Kerry will also be stuck with half of his party wanting our of Iraq as soon as possible. Kerry really has no constituency. All Kerry really is, is not Bush. I don’t call that a position of strength. After he is elected all the enthusiasm for him will evaporate. I would not be surprised to see the press even turn against him.
Say what you will about Bush, but he was a leader and he led. Kerry is going to be another one of those finger-in-the-wind politicians.
2008 could be an interesting year.
Posted by Ted at November 2, 2004 8:25 PM